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MIRA CLIMATE REPORT 2015: ABOUT OBSERVED AND FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGES IN FLANDERS AND BELGIUM

 

link to 3D cover Climate Report 2015

 

 

'To what extent is climate change already visible in Flanders and Belgium?’  and ‘What are the expectations for the future?’, these are the central questions in the MIRA Climate Report 2015.

 

 

 

An analysis of existing environmental indicators, supplemented with new indicators for drought and the urban heat island effect, provides the answer to the first question. Scenario analyses map out the bandwidth of the expectations for the future. They are based on the most recent scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations (IPCC). Furthermore, the report for the first time examines potential spatial differences in climate change within Flanders and surroundings. Attention is also paid to the potential effects of climate change for public health and water management. Finally, this report dwells on the threat of tipping points in our climate system, and on how to deal with the uncertainties that are inherently associated with the climate scenarios.

The MIRA Climate Report 2015 bridges the gap between science and policy. For the compilation of the report MIRA could rely on a diverse group of experts from KU Leuven (Catholic University Leuven), VITO (Flemish Institute for Technological Research), RMI (Royal Meteorological Institute) and VMM (Flanders Environment Agency). They brought together the latest figures and insights in this report to facilitate their widespread dissemination and integration into policy-making.

o Read the digital version of the report 'MIRA Climate Report 2015: about observed and future climate changes in Flanders and Belgium'  (pdf, 9,5 MB)

o Read the abstract of the MIRA Climate Report 2015  (pdf, 153 KB)

 

The report comes with 5 scientific research reports, which are also accessible online:

  • ​De Ridder K., Maiheu B., Wouters H. & van Lipzig N. (2015), Indicatoren van het stedelijk hitte-eiland in Vlaanderen, study commissioned by the Flanders Environment Agency, MIRA, MIRA/2015/05, VITO and KU Leuven [scientific report on heat island effect - Dutch report with abstract in English] (pdf, 8.5 MB)
  • van Lipzig N.P.M. & Willems P. (2015) Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen, study commissioned by the Flanders Environment Agency, MIRA, MIRA/2015/01, KU Leuven in collaboration with RMI [scientific report on climate change scenarios for Flanders and Belgium - Dutch report with abstract in English] (pdf, 4 MB)
  • Beullens J. & van Lipzig N.P.M. (2015) Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen - Appendix 1: Nieuwe modelprojecties voor Ukkel op basis van Europese en Belgische fijnmazige klimaatmodellen. Study commissioned by the Flanders Environment Agency, MIRA, MIRA/2015/02, KU Leuven [annex to the scientific report on climate change scenarios for Flanders and Belgium; contains results of the high resolution European (CORDEX) and Belgian (MACCBET, ALARO) climate change models - written in English] (pdf, 6 MB)
  • Tabari H., Taye M.T. & Willems P. (2015) Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen - Appendix 2: Nieuwe modelprojecties voor Ukkel op basis van globale klimaatmodellen (CMIP5). Study commissioned by the Operational Water Management Department of the Flanders Environment Agency, MIRA, MIRA/2015/03, KU Leuven [annex to the scientific report on climate change scenarios for Flanders and Belgium; contains the statistical downscaling of global (CMIP5) and some regional (CORDEX) climate models - written in English] (pdf, 4.5 MB)
  • Beullens J. & van Lipzig N.P.M. (2015) Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen - Appendix 3: Ruimtelijke patronen voor België op basis van Europese en Belgische fijnmazige klimaatmodellen. Study commissioned by the Flanders Environment Agency, MIRA, MIRA/2015/04, KU Leuven [annex to the scientific report on spatial patterns in the climate change scenarios for Belgium and Flanders - written in English] (pdf, 10 MB)

 

The 'MIRA Climate Report 2015: about observed and future climate changes in Flanders and Belgium'  was published on 17th September 2015. Read the press release of the MIRA Climate Report 2015 (only in Dutch).

Flood-prone areas showing the impact of climate change (high scenario) are available on www.waterinfo.be/geoloket and via the associated webmap service (WMS). For a large part of the first category non-navigable watercourses these maps show the flood extent and water depth by 2100 with high, medium and low probability.

MIRA contacts: Johan Brouwers (j.brouwers@vmm.be) and Bob Peeters (b.peeters@vmm.be)

Press contact: Katrien Smet (k.smet@vmm.be)